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Dusterbd13
Dusterbd13 Dork
1/21/14 1:09 p.m.

hell, i still want to sit in one. if i can fit comfortably, and my wife or daughter can fit comfortably in the back, ill buy one the minute i can. especially at those mpg and price points.

i will not, however, throw money their way prior to them being availible. i see that over 7000 people have already made the gamble, and they are still messing with the design.

looking through their blog shows some prtty good under construction pictures of the thing. very little structure for what i think is needed, but then again its an enclosed trike....

ProDarwin
ProDarwin UltraDork
1/21/14 1:12 p.m.
bluej wrote: I foresee a significant percentage of the people who bought the three wheeler can-ams to commute into work in the HOV lanes to switch over to these. they looked awfully cold commuting on a can-am in february. probably not a lot of people in absolute numbers, though.

HOV3 or 2? Prius and many other hybrids are HOV 2 eligible and saturate the HOV lane/s on 66.

bluej
bluej Dork
1/21/14 1:18 p.m.
ProDarwin wrote:
bluej wrote: I foresee a significant percentage of the people who bought the three wheeler can-ams to commute into work in the HOV lanes to switch over to these. they looked awfully cold commuting on a can-am in february. probably not a lot of people in absolute numbers, though.
HOV3 or 2? Prius and many other hybrids are HOV 2 eligible and saturate the HOV lane/s on 66.

Can't recall off the top of my head. They'd be coming/going on 395 while I went the other way to Lorton from DC for work.

yamaha
yamaha PowerDork
1/21/14 6:09 p.m.
ProDarwin wrote:
yamaha wrote: What the hell powers it, a metro 3 pot? I can tell you, zero 900cc motorbike engines exist that will return 85mpg highway with a 400lb bike, let alone how much this will weigh(most likely 800-1000lb).
Weight has very little impact on highway economy. Cd has a huge impact, and I've never seen a bike with a low drag coefficient.

I will give you that, bit still at the same time, 85mpg seems a bit of a stretch.

SlickDizzy
SlickDizzy GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
1/21/14 6:15 p.m.
z31maniac wrote:
SlickDizzy wrote: How many more of these startups do we really need? Aptera, Carbon Motors, Fisker, countless more in the past five years alone. You can't throw a rock without hitting a green car startup these days. Who wants to start taking bets on the debt they run up before they go under? Ironically enough, take a hardcore sports car company like TVR that just couldn't cut it in the pre-green age; I have a strange feeling that they'd be in freewheeling excess right now if they hadn't overextended themselves so badly in the 2000's, since the pendulum is now swinging the other direction...
As many as the free market will bear. What's wrong with more choice?

My whole point...so far, the free market has borne ONE. Tesla. The rest just suck up subsidies until they go under, on OUR dime. THAT's the problem. How is it a choice if the purpoted product basically exists as a partially taxpayer-funded boondoggle?

z31maniac
z31maniac UltimaDork
1/21/14 6:52 p.m.

I doubt we will have to worry about it.

http://cleantechnica.com/2013/08/19/paul-elio-motors-releases-financials/

yamaha
yamaha PowerDork
1/21/14 7:37 p.m.

In reply to z31maniac:

Wow, so if I make 3x the paperwork and a higher price point, do you think I can get unsecured federal loans for my own automotive venture?

By that venture I mean scam the government into supporting a race team.

Also, I approve of the use of "Three wheeled virginity shield"

Flight Service
Flight Service MegaDork
1/21/14 7:57 p.m.
yamaha wrote:
ProDarwin wrote:
yamaha wrote: What the hell powers it, a metro 3 pot? I can tell you, zero 900cc motorbike engines exist that will return 85mpg highway with a 400lb bike, let alone how much this will weigh(most likely 800-1000lb).
Weight has very little impact on highway economy. Cd has a huge impact, and I've never seen a bike with a low drag coefficient.
I will give you that, bit still at the same time, 85mpg seems a bit of a stretch.

I seem to remember a streamliner that was returning 100+ mpg using a vfr engine.

bearmtnmartin
bearmtnmartin GRM+ Memberand HalfDork
1/21/14 10:13 p.m.

"THREE WHEELED VIRGINITY SHIELD"

That made my night, but I doubt it is the image they wanted to project.

irish44j
irish44j PowerDork
1/21/14 10:15 p.m.
DWNSHFT wrote: How many of these new car companies exist only because of government subsidies, grants, loans, and loan guarantees? David

Hmm...let me think of a few:

  • General Motors

  • Chrysler

  • Ford

did I miss any?

irish44j
irish44j PowerDork
1/21/14 10:19 p.m.
ProDarwin wrote:
bluej wrote: I foresee a significant percentage of the people who bought the three wheeler can-ams to commute into work in the HOV lanes to switch over to these. they looked awfully cold commuting on a can-am in february. probably not a lot of people in absolute numbers, though.
HOV3 or 2? Prius and many other hybrids are HOV 2 eligible and saturate the HOV lane/s on 66.

Ah yes, with their "clean special fuel" license plates. Since they use a clean special fuel called "gasoline."

Also those Tahoe hybrids, Lexus SUV hybrids, and such that are most definitely saving the world from pollution and are HOV-legal (IIRC), while a 45mpg CRX HF isn't.....gotta love it.

Cotton
Cotton SuperDork
1/21/14 10:21 p.m.
irish44j wrote:
DWNSHFT wrote: How many of these new car companies exist only because of government subsidies, grants, loans, and loan guarantees? David
Hmm...let me think of a few: - General Motors - Chrysler - Ford did I miss any?

Toyota, BMW

Flight Service
Flight Service MegaDork
1/22/14 9:14 a.m.
Cotton wrote:
irish44j wrote:
DWNSHFT wrote: How many of these new car companies exist only because of government subsidies, grants, loans, and loan guarantees? David
Hmm...let me think of a few: - General Motors - Chrysler - Ford did I miss any?
Toyota, BMW

Nissan, Mazda (at one time actually owned by the Japanese Government), Mercedes, Volvo, Saab....oh wait

Flight Service
Flight Service MegaDork
1/22/14 9:16 a.m.
bearmtnmartin wrote: "THREE WHEELED VIRGINITY SHIELD" That made my night, but I doubt it is the image they wanted to project.

Urkel has a new car

ProDarwin
ProDarwin UltraDork
1/22/14 9:27 a.m.
irish44j wrote:
ProDarwin wrote:
bluej wrote: I foresee a significant percentage of the people who bought the three wheeler can-ams to commute into work in the HOV lanes to switch over to these. they looked awfully cold commuting on a can-am in february. probably not a lot of people in absolute numbers, though.
HOV3 or 2? Prius and many other hybrids are HOV 2 eligible and saturate the HOV lane/s on 66.
Ah yes, with their "clean special fuel" license plates. Since they use a clean special fuel called "gasoline." Also those Tahoe hybrids, Lexus SUV hybrids, and such that are most definitely saving the world from pollution and are HOV-legal (IIRC), while a 45mpg CRX HF isn't.....gotta love it.

I don't agree with the choice to allow CSV cars into HOV lanes, as I think it undermines the purpose of the lanes - congestion, not pollution. I also don't agree with calling them CSV. That said...

A) If I ever had to commute on 66, you can be sure as hell I'd buy a qualifying vehicle in a heartbeat. Its a small price to pay for the reduction in traffic/commute time.

B) While the Tahoe and Lexus SUVs don't get great mileage, they do pollute far less than a CRX HF. Just like I'm sure your Sequoia does.

yamaha
yamaha PowerDork
1/22/14 9:31 a.m.

I'm glad we don't have "HOV" lanes.....

93EXCivic
93EXCivic MegaDork
1/22/14 9:51 a.m.
yamaha wrote: I'm glad we don't have "HOV" lanes.....

WTF is a HOV lane?

alfadriver
alfadriver PowerDork
1/22/14 9:52 a.m.
Flight Service wrote:
Cotton wrote:
irish44j wrote:
DWNSHFT wrote: How many of these new car companies exist only because of government subsidies, grants, loans, and loan guarantees? David
Hmm...let me think of a few: - General Motors - Chrysler - Ford did I miss any?
Toyota, BMW
Nissan, Mazda (at one time actually owned by the Japanese Government), Mercedes, Volvo, Saab....oh wait

The question was about new companies.

And while many of the OEM's do rely on government funding, the pay off tends to be good- loans may be unsecured, but they are paid back. And long term employment also means that there's a long term source of economy- income tax, property tax, people buying milk, people building homes. Too many of the high profile new companies come in, take loans, pretend to do something with the money, talk, try to build some cars, and then go bankrupt.

For this car, I have no doubt that there IS a market for 3 wheel cars. The question is- is the market big enough to make money? If the answer is "yes" then- how big is the market, and how much of that can I capture to make money? For sure, a $6800 three wheeler will do a lot better than a $30k one. But enough? dunno.

How many times do we need to say "the average communter only needs X" before we understand that the number of people who buy just X is so small that it's really hard to make money in that tiny market.

Is there room for a new car maker? No doubt.

But THE marekt is for Fusion/Camry/Accord sized cars or full size trucks. Smaller than that and you need to sell at a premium to cover your costs, bigger than that you sell at a premium to cover costs.

It's a whole lot more straight forward to start with a high end car and move down than a low and car and move up. Tesla has a much better chance than Corbin, as Fisker has a better chance than Elio does.

100 year ago, it was the same equation. What changed was when someone had enough to put it into mass production.

Anyway, that's my opinion.

Basil Exposition
Basil Exposition HalfDork
1/22/14 9:57 a.m.

Guys, guys, you seem to be missing the obvious GRM benefit to a cheap, simple, safe motorized vehicle. I mean, it already has a roll cage built into it!

Anyone....anyone....Bueller?

Yes!! Entry level spec racing series. Of course!

chrispy
chrispy Reader
1/22/14 9:59 a.m.

NC would require a helmet to operate the Elio (I want to say Emilioooooo), so I don't see it doing well here at all, though I have seen an increase in Teslas. Smart cars were prolific when first introduced but its rare I see one now, unless its advertising something.

ProDarwin
ProDarwin UltraDork
1/22/14 10:02 a.m.
93EXCivic wrote:
yamaha wrote: I'm glad we don't have "HOV" lanes.....
WTF is a HOV lane?

Well, DC has HOV roads.

yamaha
yamaha PowerDork
1/22/14 10:21 a.m.

In reply to ProDarwin:

Elitest scumbags.

Elsmere
Elsmere New Reader
1/22/14 12:42 p.m.

In reply to SlickDizzy:

Dang, I really wanted for this thing to be a success. They have something like a %16 margin on the only product they make , and things always cost more than you thought when there are as many unknowns as there are in assembly of a new vehicle. They have 22 engineers on staff according to that spreadsheet, but no finance people. I think that is unlikely to end well, and I am an engineer. They will never sell 250,000 of them a year, so if it is based on that alone they are sunk.

RossD
RossD PowerDork
1/22/14 2:24 p.m.

What is the cheapest car on new car lots in the US?

ProDarwin
ProDarwin UltraDork
1/22/14 2:26 p.m.
RossD wrote: What is the cheapest car on new car lots in the US?

Nissan Versa used to be the clear winner there, not sure if it still is.

It is probably a good example of why the elio car won't sell

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