1 ... 6 7 8 9 10 ... 49
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter)
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter) GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
12/5/20 9:03 p.m.
Subscriber-unavailabile said:

I have a question. And not I'm starting E36 M3, but how many of you heard about the "levels" of the viral load of Covid?

I listen to a lot of podcast(imho) where's there's not bias to this or that side. I've heard a lot here lately about the COVID testing  being too sensitive.

From my understanding America's testing is unlimited on how much of the strain you have. Most countries only test for certain viral load in your system and if low enough you test negative. Where as USA testing system you can have a 1% viral load and your put into the statistics.

Again not trying to start E36 M3. But if I'm allowed to walk into a store and buy cigarettes that kill more, over 500,000 in the same time period, how much is this virus more then an element of we risk ourselves to everyday life to....

I don't think it's starting E36 M3, but it's important to mention that this is not anything new.  Some people point to this phenomenon as a way of invalidating it's usefulness, but it is how we've done things since viral testing was a thing.

Depending on the contagion, any number of testing methods are used.  If we only tested sick people and only used the antibody test, it wouldn't tell us much about the virus.  All it would say is "we know you're sick, and this test says you're sick."  Testing for the presence of the virus in your snot is a very valuable data point.  It helps determine things like exposure-to-infection rates.  When you back it up with other forms of testing, we can learn so much more about viruses.

The Flu test is similar.  If you go to an urgent care with flu symptoms, they don't do an antibody test to confirm you have a flu infection, they do a snot test to see if you have the presence of flu virus.

Important distinctions:  With many contagions, they develop several tests based on how they are able to develop a testing method.  They usually attempt to at least come up with two tests:  1) a contagion test.  This tests for the physical presence of the contagion but says little or nothing about whether or not your body has become infected with it.  Keep in mind that our bodies are confronted with literally billions of viruses and bacteria every second from any one of millions of classifications.  This test is like saying "yes, you have a rattlesnake on your lap," but doesn't say whether or not you've been bitten.  2) antibody/antigen test.  This doesn't test for the contagion at all, it tests to see if your body has produced known antigens.  This does indicate that you have or had an infection... meaning, your body has achieved a viral load AND your body has mounted an attack.  This test is like saying, "we have no idea if there was a rattlesnake, but you have been bitten."  These two tests together cover the other unknown factor... those who have had a significant viral load, but have not had either an infection NOR an immune response.  Many people have been colloquially calling this "asymptomatic" during COVID, which is not exactly correct.  Some others have invoked the term Typhoid Mary, which is also not accurate.

In terms of covid (and many other contagions) it's important to know the terms and use them correctly to prevent misinformation or being counterproductive to the cause.

Test positive:  You have been tested for the presence of the contagion, but may or may not have an infection or symptoms.  It's there, but that can't predict what your body will do with it.
Infection:  You have reached a viral load to a level that your body has mounted a defense.  In the case of C19, this may or may not manifest as symptoms
Asymptomatic:  You have the infection (body mounted a defense) but it has not manifested as physical symptoms
Carrier:  You have the presence of the virus (with or without infection and with or without symptoms) and are able to pass along that virus.  For instance, you inhaled some of the virus and sneezed it on someone, and you either had an asymptomatic infection, or never contracted an infection.  In this way it is possible for you to not become infected, but still pass it to someone.  Last I heard regarding C19, this is a rare form of transmission.

Given all the possible ways for C19 to be transmitted without having symptoms is one of the troubles with this one.

I was listening to an NPR segment about this with the head of UPMC's Covid prevention whatever.  He was talking about how this flies in the face of everything we have learned.  We have always been taught that when you're sick, you have symptoms, and you cough into your elbow and everything is good.  He likened this to a thunderstorm.  If you look out your window and there is a thunderstorm with lighting strikes in your front yard, you have that logic programmed into your brain.  You don't go out and play in your front yard.  Your brain processes the rain, the dark skies, the rumbles, and flashes of light.  With Covid, he said, it's like doctors are asking people to believe that the lighting now comes 14 days before the thunderstorm, and you won't know you've been hit with lighting until the rain actually arrives.  He was sympathetic to the hoaxer crowd because who would believe that complete change in paradigms?  You look out your window and its sunny and clear, but we're supposed to believe we'll be hit by delayed-reaction lightning?  That was his take on it.  Most diseases like this with a higher R0 value (flu, cold, etc) don't have the delayed incubation.  When we're sick we stay home and all is well.  Getting people to believe that they need to hide in a bunker when they feel fine isn't easily swallowed for those less apt to conform to what they don't understand.

Curtis73 (Forum Supporter)
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter) GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
12/5/20 9:17 p.m.
OHSCrifle said:

I also think wearing a mask in a room alone seems ridiculous, unless you consider building HVAC systems (that) often have really awful filtration. And building owners often do a piss poor job of maintaining systems and even changing filters. 
 

I've been WFH since March and have visited my office twice in that time - to drop off some stuff and pick up some stuff. It's located on the 50th floor of a downtown Atlanta high-rise. The landlord has indicated they can/will not upgrade the tenant space filtration nor the fresh air and exhaust air mix. 
 

Despite a serious case of "stir crazy" (from staring at the wall in my basement) I'm not going back into that office anytime soon. I'm extremely fortunate to have that  option.... but I have no desire to go back into that environment if the MFers that I work with are free to show up and cough into the air in a closed office atmosphere.
 

Sooner we can all become immune, the better because I really do feel a serious loss from being around people. Even if I can't stand some of them. 
 

So a mask in a closed office may seem crazy but it may not be so ridiculous. 

I feel ya, man.  I'm an extrovert who runs a theater tech department.  I'm used to 12 hours a day of 4 co-workers, a dozen ad hoc artistic staff and dozens of actors, dancers, and designers all hugging and socializing.

Fortunately for me, although we're all furloughed and exactly zero people visit the theater, I volunteered to keep an eye on the place. You know, make sure the heat works, make sure the roof doesn't leak, and make sure that all the shop equipment doesn't get too many cobwebs on it.  3000sf of isolated, covid-free, nicely-equipped wood shop.  I have finished more projects than I had on my list and invented some new ones.... you know, taking one for the team so the shop doesn't feel lonely.

OHSCrifle
OHSCrifle GRM+ Memberand SuperDork
12/5/20 9:18 p.m.

In reply to 03Panther :

It's all good. In general, like the social distance too. 
 

Hopefully pandemics don't become like the "100 year floods" (which seem to arrive much more frequently lately). 

OHSCrifle
OHSCrifle GRM+ Memberand SuperDork
12/5/20 9:21 p.m.
03Panther said:

In reply to OHSCrifle :

Oh, btw, I also need to give you a compliment. It’s easy for all of us to assume someone has not thought of something, and all info is good. But on this topic a lot of folks get very condescending about it! You came across as a very polite gentleman! Better than I could do , honestly. Just wanted to let ya know, I noticed, and appreciate it. 

Thanks. I TRY to live my life that way and I'm glad to hear it's appreciated.

AAZCD (Forum Supporter)
AAZCD (Forum Supporter) Dork
12/6/20 8:23 a.m.

I thought for sure this thread would have gone flounder by now, but it's actually decent entertaining reading.   /applause

I'm not overly concerned about having COVID, but I'm happy to have the vaccine as soon as it's offered to me.

I work in EMS with about a dozen co-workers at my base. Over half the people I work with had COVID in October or November. No severe cases. I was very sick for a week then too, but didn't have respiratory symptoms and tested (rapid test) negative. Another EMS organization in the area did a company wide test and had eight people (ambulance crews) test positive without any symptoms - Doing medical transports in close proximity to all types of patients and not knowing they were positive until then. The Tulsa Hospitals are often not accepting any new ICU patients due to lack of beds.

One of my daughters works in a nursing home. The director of nursing (now suspended) told a worker to keep coming in after she tested positive because they were short handed. It rapidly spread through the facility. Two residents died (with other co-morbidities) and two thirds of them have now contracted COVID. My daughter, who is pregnant, gets tested at least weekly now and is still COVID 'free'.

Wash your hands. Don't touch your face.

eastsideTim
eastsideTim PowerDork
12/6/20 8:45 a.m.
AAZCD (Forum Supporter) said:

One of my daughters works in a nursing home. The director of nursing (now suspended) told a worker to keep coming in after she tested positive because they were short handed. It rapidly spread through the facility. Two residents died (with other co-morbidities) and two thirds of them have now contracted COVID. My daughter, who is pregnant, gets tested at least weekly now and is still COVID 'free'.

I hope she stays safe.  Being involved in the long tem care industry (on the IT side), has me really want to avoid a nursing home, even when there isn't a pandemic.  They've been cost cut to ridiculous levels, and have a very hard time hiring (and keeping) good workers, at all levels.  The best employees end up with better opportunities, so their main motivation to stay on is how much they care about their residents, despite everything going on around them.

Curtis73 (Forum Supporter)
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter) GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
12/6/20 8:58 a.m.
Streetwiseguy said:
aircooled said:

Regarding India and Africa:  India is the strange one.  The rather intense population density and generally poorer living conditions would seem to imply disaster (as is generally the case in the US).  It honestly (to me at least) does not make sense that they aren't just huge infection zone.  You might think India would have a serious issue with testing, but it appears they have done rather well with that, relatively.  ( https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7485636/ )

 

I'm not sure I agree.  I'm 60, and the vast majority of doctors I've been involved with over the last 50 of those years have been Indian or South African.  A shortage of doctors and testing facilities wouldn't be an issue in India, I'd bet.

India has fantastic doctors and medical education which is one of the reasons you see so many talented Indian physicians.  But the economy in India does not support the medical infrastructure that we do here... which is also why you see so many Indian doctors in the states.

wae
wae UberDork
12/6/20 9:34 a.m.

There was a USA Today article that was discussing the ramifications of making the vaccine mandatory and it brought up an interesting point about the FDA status.  According to the article, the vaccine will initially be operating under an emergency use authorization as opposed to FDA approval.  Previously the CDC and the FDA have said that employers cannot require anyone to take a vaccine that falls under an EUA without the HHS Secretary issuing a statement to the contrary as part of the EUA.  Once the FDA approval is completed, however, it can be mandated by employers or government withing whatever confines are out there for other vaccines. 

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/12/05/covid-vaccine-required-government-employers/3797885001/

 

Re: Africa and India:

I've heard conjecture that Africa and Asia are doing better because they have had other types of Corona viruses. So their bodies have learned how to deal with a similar threat. There are even hypotheses that believe parasites present in Africaner's bodies may fight off Covid. Truly strange times we live in. 

Daily Show on Africa/Covid          Fair warning, this is a pretty left leaning comedy show. Still, I find it informative.

docwyte
docwyte UberDork
12/6/20 10:02 a.m.

In reply to AAZCD (Forum Supporter) :

They only suspended the direction?!  Didn't FIRE them, plus other sanctions?  That's seriously F'ed up.

AAZCD (Forum Supporter)
AAZCD (Forum Supporter) Dork
12/6/20 10:12 a.m.
docwyte said:

In reply to AAZCD (Forum Supporter) :

They only suspended the direction?!  Didn't FIRE them, plus other sanctions?  That's seriously F'ed up.

I heard that it was initially a suspension and the director will not be working there anymore. It is being investigated by the state and I expect there will be some law suits as well. Anything I know is hearsay.

Subscriber-unavailabile
Subscriber-unavailabile HalfDork
12/6/20 10:26 a.m.

Another thing I'll add to this discussion.

Why is there no talk of home self therapeutics? Supposedly, taking vita D, B , and zinc daily gives our body's a much better chance at fighting not just this virus but others. 
Heard an interview with Dr Rhonda Patrick couple months ago, where they did a study,  that if memory serves right, they found something 80-90# of people who got servere symptoms/ or died had serverly low vitamin D levels, almost not even registering.

What I'm getting at is I get stay at home, wear a mask and distance from other. But why doesn't anyone talk about how to take of our bodies to fight off viruses?

frenchyd
frenchyd PowerDork
12/6/20 10:41 a.m.

In reply to Subscriber-unavailabile :

While you may be onto something and my Doctor has recommended I improve my vitamin D intake dramatically ( because at my age it normally becomes very low )  I'll need a fair amount of pier revue documentation to make the connection. 
   Meanwhile I'll continue to mask, social distance and wash my hands etc 

barefootskater (Shaun)
barefootskater (Shaun) UberDork
12/6/20 10:42 a.m.

In reply to Subscriber-unavailabile :

Because the bubble-headed bleach-blonde would rather talk about the plane crash, and most of the "civilian" discourse turns into an immediate flame war. Money and power, and changing strangers minds by calling names. 
This thread is good. Shockingly good. I hope it keeps going. 
 

 

Also, I hate the Eagles. 

frenchyd
frenchyd PowerDork
12/6/20 10:49 a.m.
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter) said:
Streetwiseguy said:
aircooled said:

Regarding India and Africa:  India is the strange one.  The rather intense population density and generally poorer living conditions would seem to imply disaster (as is generally the case in the US).  It honestly (to me at least) does not make sense that they aren't just huge infection zone.  You might think India would have a serious issue with testing, but it appears they have done rather well with that, relatively.  ( https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7485636/ )

 

I'm not sure I agree.  I'm 60, and the vast majority of doctors I've been involved with over the last 50 of those years have been Indian or South African.  A shortage of doctors and testing facilities wouldn't be an issue in India, I'd bet.

India has fantastic doctors and medical education which is one of the reasons you see so many talented Indian physicians.  But the economy in India does not support the medical infrastructure that we do here... which is also why you see so many Indian doctors in the states.

My HMO offers free tickets hotel accommodations expense  and full coverage of some procedures if  carried out in India. They provided me with documentation that the Hospitals involved had superior results to American hospitals  along with video's of the hospitals and operating rooms. 
 

The hospitals I looked at were newer,  cleaner, and had more up to date equipment than any metropolitan hospitals here. 

mtn (Forum Supporter)
mtn (Forum Supporter) MegaDork
12/6/20 10:50 a.m.

Every doctor I’ve talked to has said, take vitamin D. That’s been a dietary recommendation for just about everybody prior to Covid though. In any case, my doctor, my wife’s, her psychiatrist, our daughters pediatrician, and the two doctors I follow for covid updates have all said, take vitamin d as a precautionary. We didn’t ask. 

 

But to compare Vitamin D to a vaccine is pretty disingenuous. Vitamin D would be like airbags. A vaccine is brakes and traffic lights. 

Subscriber-unavailabile
Subscriber-unavailabile HalfDork
12/6/20 11:09 a.m.
aircooled
aircooled MegaDork
12/6/20 11:18 a.m.
barefootskater (Shaun) said:

In reply to Subscriber-unavailabile :

Because the bubble-headed bleach-blonde would rather talk about the plane crash...

Also, I hate the Eagles. 

That's not the Eagles BTW, that was just Don Henley....  cheeky

aircooled
aircooled MegaDork
12/6/20 11:24 a.m.
mtn (Forum Supporter) said:

Every doctor I’ve talked to has said, take vitamin D. That’s been a dietary recommendation for just about everybody prior to Covid though....

Vitamin D is supposed to help, and you don't hear much about it.  What about obesity and diabetes?  Both are known conditions that have almost certainly killed many people with COVID, both are (in many cases) entirely avoidable by personal behavior.  I hear nothing about those!  Seems like it would be a great opportunity (you know, scare people like they like to do) to motivate some positive change! Both are also pretty common in some heavily hit demographics....

....but the bubble headed bleach blonde would rather talk about the plane crash...  

Subscriber-unavailabile
Subscriber-unavailabile HalfDork
12/6/20 11:44 a.m.

In reply to aircooled :

That's what bugs the E36 M3 out of me. Never hear the news stress to the public about taking care of yourself.

A year ago I cut out 90% of my sugar, vegetable oils, try to avoid fructose syrups. I'm not on perfect diet I don't feel like crap as often.

aircooled said:
barefootskater (Shaun) said:

In reply to Subscriber-unavailabile :

Because the bubble-headed bleach-blonde would rather talk about the plane crash...

Also, I hate the Eagles. 

That's not the Eagles BTW, that was just Don Henley....  cheeky

(attempt at levity. Definitely the Don, not the Eagles)

codrus (Forum Supporter)
codrus (Forum Supporter) GRM+ Memberand UberDork
12/6/20 1:00 p.m.

On the original topic (the vaccine), this blog post by a research chemist is interesting:

https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/12/04/get-ready-for-false-side-effects

The most important bit is this one:

"Specifically, if you take 10 million people and just wave your hand back and forth over their upper arms, in the next two months you would expect to see about 4,000 heart attacks. About 4,000 strokes. Over 9,000 new diagnoses of cancer. And about 14,000 of that ten million will die, out of usual all-causes mortality. No one would notice. That’s how many people die and get sick anyway."

 

eastsideTim
eastsideTim PowerDork
12/6/20 1:39 p.m.
Subscriber-unavailabile said:

In reply to aircooled :

That's what bugs the E36 M3 out of me. Never hear the news stress to the public about taking care of yourself.

We must watch different news channels.  While I don't get constantly bombarded with stories about healthy eating/living, I've seen quite a few.

 

AAZCD (Forum Supporter)
AAZCD (Forum Supporter) Dork
12/6/20 2:26 p.m.
codrus (Forum Supporter) said:   ...
And about 14,000 of that ten million will die, out of usual all-causes mortality. No one would notice. That’s how many people die and get sick anyway."

That brought to mind a fact that I have been wondering about: How many US deaths per capita are occurring now with COVID-19 vs in 2019. I did a basic search and received conflicting results depending on the bias or motives of the web page. That led me to the CDC page where they track and post statistics of Flu+Pneumonia+All Causes. Overall the death rate is pretty steady across the years. No significant jump from the Pandemic. This is CDC Data, trust them or don't. It's the best I've found.

Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality Surveillance from the National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System

There is a big spike in Pneumonia as a cause. It seems that many of the same people would have died from other causes if that had not been the case.

Here's a chart made on that page by setting the week to #47 of 2020:

That same period of 2019:

Pretty similar death rate statistically if you look across recent years.

chandler
chandler UltimaDork
12/6/20 2:54 p.m.

Thank you, I've been looking for that info

1 ... 6 7 8 9 10 ... 49

This topic is locked. No further posts are being accepted.

Our Preferred Partners
2TqK46w9wKdYArA4dSTm0vmQfHkYw8Y5m4Oh0qUCB3B6KH0b2rv3kkISzke51Ul0