RX Reven' said:
In reply to Beer Baron :
#1 That would only be correct if we somehow knew they stole 33 cats before getting caught stealing the 34th which would almost never be the case.
Are you suggesting we punish people for crimes we're pretty sure they've committed, rather than crimes that can be proved beyond a certain threshold in a legal setting?
Once criminals learn that efficiency is taken into consideration as a sentencing guideline, they'll at least sometimes work on being more efficient which should pull that $68,000 per month harm to society number down.
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Obviously I don't know how effective this would be but I believe many criminals respond to logic in the same way non-criminals do.
Are you suggesting that non-criminals generally respond to logic? Do you really honestly believe this? Have you met people?
How many people do you consider to be truly rational actors behaving in accordance to enlightened self interest? Do you think the sorts of people inclined to steal catalytic converters are more or less likely to behave as rational actors weighing the cost/benefit of their actions than the general populace?
What makes you think that people inclined to crime aren't already looking at the problem as rationally as they're going to, and adjusting their behavior accordingly?
If you were inclined to turn to crime, what would you be doing?
Let's say you have a general disregard for financial or property harm to others, but are opposed to doing direct physical harm to people. What kinds of criminal acts would you engage in and why? I would not being stealing catalytic converters because that's very low payout for the work required. I'm also putting myself at greater risk of being caught or interrupted. I'd probably be engaging in phone, email, or cyber fraud or maybe identity theft. It's a lot larger payout for the same amount of work to call up a grandma, claim to be her grandson, and say I need $5,000 in bail money wired to me. I can do that sitting at home with a burner cell phone. No chance of someone seeing me in the act to try to confront me or identify me to authorities. The legal penalties or my regard for people wouldn't factor into this decision. With more time, resources, and skill I'd engage in a fancier scam creating ransomware, or illegally trading companies, or create a new cryptocurrency or NFT to con people into buying. The only reason I'd choose to steal catalytic converters is if that is that is if I don't have the skills and resources to engage in a more profitable crime.
If you were in that situation, would you choose stealing catalytic converters? Or some other crime that nets you more money? How much would the legal penalties factor into your decision making vs the potential payout for the same amount of work?