In reply to Stampie :
Yep. That’s the one.
In reply to Stampie :
Yep. That’s the one.
SVreX said:In reply to Stampie :
Yep. That’s the one.
So apparently that has to do with how the counties communicate? Not sure that makes much sense to me. It's not like phones are hard to use.
Governor Henry McMaster issued an executive order declaring a state of emergency for South Carolina. The executive order enables all state agencies to coordinate resources and sets into effect the State Emergency Operations Plan. It authorizes local emergency management agencies to begin mobilizing assets and resources ahead of any potential impact from Hurricane Dorian.
Looks like the cone of uncertainty moved again:
Yes, and so has the cone of economic stimulation rolling right along with it.
Toyman01 said:SVreX said:In reply to Stampie :
Yep. That’s the one.
So apparently that has to do with how the counties communicate? Not sure that makes much sense to me. It's not like phones are hard to use.
Governor Henry McMaster issued an executive order declaring a state of emergency for South Carolina. The executive order enables all state agencies to coordinate resources and sets into effect the State Emergency Operations Plan. It authorizes local emergency management agencies to begin mobilizing assets and resources ahead of any potential impact from Hurricane Dorian.
I don’t think it has anything to do with communication. It has to do with when money can flow to emergency management agencies.
I was worried for my friends in Florida. Looks like they're OK this time around. Brave folks who live there.
Ridge Racer said:I was worried for my friends in Florida. Looks like they're OK this time around. Brave folks who live there.
I'm not going to relax yet. Storm tracking technology is good, but this thing is more difficult to predict than the typical system.
Plus, there's this:
In 2004, I watched Hurricane Charlie hook a right turn out of the Gulf of Mexico and run across Punta Gorda and rampage across the State when it was supposed to make landfall within the hour, right over my house in Sarasota/Bradenton. It did way more damage way over here in Volusia County than the Tampa Bay area where it was headed.
We got some rain, winds in the 30s or so, didn't even lose power.
Dorian still hasn't made the turn yet. I may board my windows up yet, and I'm going to fill my sandbags in the morning. The only reason I haven't done all of that is that I haven't been home from work before 8:30 PM all week.
Yep, we're watching. The models are looking better for us, but we're also stocked up and as ready as we can be.
Ridge Racer said:I was worried for my friends in Florida. Looks like they're OK this time around. Brave folks who live there.
Yeah we're not unclenching yet. This thing still has some drastic course adjustments to make to hit that proposed track, and strong hurricanes tend to make their own rules. Still, the 3-day cones tend to be highly reliable, so it is looking like the state will at least dodge the worst of it.
At some point with a hurricane skirting the east coast, though, a few miles can make a HUGE difference. If it make landfall then heads north, it will be bad for the folks at ground zero, but it will lose energy faster over land. If it stays off the east coast, it retains energy longer and stronger, but the land is on the weaker side of the storm. Would you rather be on the weak side of a strong hurricane or the strong side of a weak hurricane? It's a heck of a proposition.
They finally got the track right.
In reply to Toyman01 :
Ha.
I can't get it to post as a GIF but if you click this link it should show the archive of the track for Dorin. There is some humor there in the predictions.
It does look like the Bahamas are going to get rocked today!
In reply to John Welsh :
This mornings track has eased closer to the coast unfortunately. I'm headed to my parents house to batten down the hatches and clear the porches just incase. They are on their boat trying to make Virginia Beach for secure anchorage and to stay with my sister
I'll wait a few days before I do anything at home.
I hate that it's slowing down. It makes the tracks pretty uncertain. It's looking like the southeast coast is going to be a exciting place to be for the next week or so.
When I was a professional sailor, I used to like to be home during huricane season. That way I wouldn't be stuck out in one of these.
This storm is shaping up to be a carbon copy of hurricane Matthew from 2016 for us. That put us just to the west of a Cat3+ hurricane as it made it's way up the coast. At one point, the outer eyewall actually made landfall on Florida soil, but the center of the eye never crossed, so it was never considered to have made landfall here.
Winds 15 miles off shore were 125+. Winds on shore were 80-. We had a mess—a HUGE mess, actually, because it had been several years since our previous hurricane and lots of trees were overgrown—but no major disasters. I'd ride through that again.
Our friend Jessie Waymire rode through Cat5 Michael last year up in the panhandle. His house stood, but he had some new skylights by the time it was over. The insurance company cut him a very nice check, and not long after that some investors swept through the area buying up properties like crazy. They were also offing some nice checks. Between the two he was able to move and upgrade for the same mortgage payment. That said, not everyone has the same good insurance stories. It's that thing you ever hope you need, but when you need it you darn sure want it to work.
Well, lane reversals on I26 out of Charleston start at noon tomorrow and Berkeley County schools are closed until further notice.
That will shoot my week to hell. Everything will get postponed, and I'll still have 4 people to pay.
When I was 15 I spent a week on a schooner sailing out of Marsh Harbor out of a BSA Satellite Sea Base location that has since been shut down.
That was 13 years ago in 2006 and there were pictures in local shops of how a hurricane in the 90's had wrecked them.
Seeing videos and hearing news from The Abacos makes my heart ache for them. Having seen what that area looks like. I hope those who didn't evacuate are ok. But I have very little hope of that. 185mph winds when the storm made landfall there.
Looks like the latest track is a bit more worrisome for me. I live on the MC coast not too far from SC line. Was hoping to see the forecast track move seaward, not landward and I wanted the cat 4 to got down to 3 not up to 5.
The Bahamas are getting it today. I still have several days to prepare and it is easy enough to load up the van and drive to safety if need be.
In reply to spacecadet :
How cool. I hope that was like your own personal version of White Squall (minus the whole unpleasant weather parts, oh yeah, and the deaths}
In reply to spacecadet :
Looks terrible- TWC just had the news that the airport on Grand Bahama is under 6 ft of water. The only relief - just saw a camera from Freeport that has it not so bad. But the storm is moving just 1mph. So it's going to get hit, and hard. I don't know where houses are very well on the island, but right now (9:15am), the eye is NE of Freeport and it seems as if it's started to head NW a little. Please head north.
The pictures I saw from Abacos makes it look the same as Puerto RIco post Maria- where the trees look like a fire passed through. Although, it's horrible to see homes where there's 3-5 ft of water and no land... Haunting.
It's going to be days until we really hear how bad it was.
In reply to SVreX :
Play that bass note again Yep thats the one.
We have plenty of space in Homosassa on the west coast if anyone needs. trailer and boat storage ect........... hippo head hotel we also have house 2 bedroom behind shop ... Bring beer 
I pulled this link off Mike's page which is a link to FB page of Bahama News channel ZedNS which has some video footage
My sister lives just outside of Charleston sc in mt pleasant. My wife and I live in Summerville sc.
We are waiting to see what happens with this storm for a day or two.
I think my sister is an idiot. She is taking her entire family to Disneyworld to get away from the storm.
Last I checked, the storm was still actually headed towards Florida and hadn't turned yet...
Is she an idiot or does she know something I don't?
Would you leave south Carolina for Orlando today?
Dorian's now become powerful enough that it would be eligible for the proposed "Category 6"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir%E2%80%93Simpson_scale#%22Categories_6_and_7%22
But we'll have to make stronger buildings to justify adding categories to the scale 
Update: Also it's nearly come to a stop over the Bahamas, moving at just 1mph:
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/09/02/us/why-did-dorian-stall/index.html
My heart goes out to the people in the Bahamas. Its one thing to suffer a CAT 5 hurricane but when one just stops and parks itself over your location, its going to be bad.
I heard a NHC guy say that they always slow down when they turn, so while it’s bad for the Bahamas, it may be good news for FL that it is moving slowly.
You'll need to log in to post.
