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BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/1/14 10:44 p.m.

I'm going on a business trip to NY tomorrow . Talk about good timing...

mad_machine
mad_machine GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
3/1/14 10:48 p.m.

6 to 10 inches in Atlantic City.. NYNY is supposed to get 1-2

BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/1/14 10:53 p.m.

That doesn't sound to bad, the drive over from Newark should hopefully be OK then...

fasted58
fasted58 PowerDork
3/1/14 11:04 p.m.

8-12" forecast here w/ freezing rain/ sleet early. Gotta drive in it late Sun. night and early Mon. morning. This oughta be fun.

... but they been wrong before.

Fueled by Caffeine
Fueled by Caffeine MegaDork
3/1/14 11:06 p.m.

going to wv.. 4-6" expected.. childs play.

BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/1/14 11:06 p.m.

Well, we arrive at about 6pm, right in the middle of the winter storm warning...

fritzsch
fritzsch Dork
3/2/14 2:25 a.m.

I don't know about the northeast but some people have been saying 6-12 over here in IL. I don't believe it though.

Woody
Woody GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
3/2/14 6:08 a.m.

You should be able to get over to Ronkonkoma to look at that SVO...

Duke
Duke UltimaDork
3/2/14 7:43 a.m.

Here in northern DE we're supposed to be on the south part of the jackpot zone. They're predicting 8"-12" for us.

fifty
fifty Reader
3/2/14 10:02 a.m.

8 - 12" on a delicious bed of ice in the DC area.

Forecasts have been accurate this year.

When do you fly out?

Fueled by Caffeine
Fueled by Caffeine MegaDork
3/2/14 11:10 a.m.

aww crap.. i'm connecting through DC.

BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/2/14 11:13 a.m.

In reply to Woody:

Only in the middle of the night. I'll be White Plains and have a full schedule for the few days I'm out there.

BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/2/14 11:14 a.m.
fifty wrote: When do you fly out?

Already on my way...

Wally
Wally GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
3/2/14 1:02 p.m.

It's still sunny right now. It looks like most of the storm will pass to our south.

BoxheadTim
BoxheadTim GRM+ Memberand PowerDork
3/2/14 4:41 p.m.

Yeah, just touched down in Newark and it's mostly dreary gray.

JtspellS
JtspellS Dork
3/2/14 4:55 p.m.

Rain right now but they are saying around 12 here in Baltimore, so we will see...

pres589
pres589 UltraDork
3/2/14 5:07 p.m.

First Wichita got hit and my flight was cancelled. Now I'm wondering what tomorrow morning will bring. So I've been stuck in Williamsport. Fingers crossed. At least my company is paying for my extended stay here.

1988RedT2
1988RedT2 PowerDork
3/2/14 5:26 p.m.

It's going to be epic. Millions will die. The economic fallout will linger for decades. We may never recover. And there will be no chicken or milk in the supermarket.

Wally
Wally GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
3/2/14 5:35 p.m.

We're getting to the point I would mind be crushed under the snow just so I wouldn't have to deal with it any more.

Giant Purple Snorklewacker
Giant Purple Snorklewacker MegaDork
3/2/14 5:46 p.m.

We are looking at "light snowshowers of indescribable terror" with the possibility for "freezing rain of the apocalypse" and a stong likelyhood of bread/milk/egg hoarding.

Understandable... because I, for one, like pancakes whenever death and darkness are rushing forward.

mad_machine
mad_machine GRM+ Memberand MegaDork
3/2/14 7:13 p.m.

AC has been upped to 8" to 12" Going to be fun moving stuff to my new place tomorrow

Hal
Hal SuperDork
3/2/14 7:58 p.m.

DC area to be hit hard. Federal Gov was announced as being closed tomorrow at 6pm this evening. Where I am (50 miles North of DC) is supposed to get 4-6" but DC and south may get as much as 15".

dimarra
dimarra Dork
3/2/14 8:08 p.m.

Southern Delaware is notorious for false predictions. I'd be more worried if they were calling for "flurries."

(That happened once. ...a foot of "flurries.")

Of course, I just jinxed myself.

curtis73
curtis73 GRM+ Memberand UberDork
3/2/14 10:27 p.m.

I think we saw the continental impact and it was reported that way. Truth is, this IS a huge storm. Just yesterday it was off the west coast, and now it has picked up moisture from the gulf and is now dropping it in the north east. In general, it was a very exciting scientific study for forecasters and meteorologists.

The other thing that happened was that the moisture that came up from the gulf didn't make it quite as far as expected because of the faster-moving cold air low pressure system in the north.

When forecasters are faced with two very narrow occluded fronts that basically span 1500 miles, predicting your weather is like predicting if a snake will go left of that tree or right.

Weather forecasting usually deals with big, round fronts that can be easily predicted. In the case of Titan, we had temperature gradients of 60+ degrees over 200 miles of surface distance. It was certainly a big deal, meteorologically.

Imagine taking pressure systems that span a few states in a circular patterns, then combine them with two other massive pressure systems with a ton of moisture, and then stretch them out like taffy across 13 states and 1500 miles. It gets a little tough to predict.

curtis73
curtis73 GRM+ Memberand UberDork
3/2/14 10:35 p.m.

There is also an inherent paradox here.

National news (like TWC) has a large investment in correctly predicting precipitation trends in your little village. They give the big picture. Then your local wannabe weather boys and girls sensationalize it using the small picture.

But... if TWC drops the ball or is incorrect, they move on. If Vinny Pescatore on Channel 1 news gets it wrong by 1/2", he has to live where he poops.

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