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STM317
STM317 UberDork
2/7/21 8:42 a.m.

I just want to point out that the S&P500 is up 16% since this thread was started. If OP listened to his gut and pulled his funds he missed out on a lot of free money.

OHSCrifle
OHSCrifle GRM+ Memberand SuperDork
2/7/21 8:48 a.m.
STM317 said:

I just want to point out that the S&P500 is up 16% since this thread was started. If OP listened to his gut and pulled his funds he missed out on a lot of free money.

Great point! And I'm thankful to GRM for knocking some sense into me immediately. 

Peabody
Peabody UltimaDork
2/7/21 9:49 a.m.
OHSCrifle said:

I noticed the book The Drunkards Walk has been mentioned a couple times on GRM in the last couple years. So I ordered a copy and read it. Its a deep dive history of probability theory... which was some "opposite side of the brain" material for me. Still, Interesting for sure. 

You're not alone. As Kahneman and Tversky suspected and proved, even statisticians don't think statistically.

It's just not intuitive

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