https://apnews.com/article/congo-unknown-disease-kwango-11c96d7073ae4a0bc8ef9b2575f8d226
This already seems way worse than early 2020 when I was working in a miserable little IT shop joking with the other guys about the weird new disease outbreak in China.
TP stash is at normal levels, still have at least half a box of N95s left over. Main MTB is running low on spares but I have 2 other usable bikes. May just order some pads and sealant for the MTB, maybe a tire if I could afford it but I can't right now...if this causes another upswing in the job market that'll be one of the first things I order.
In reply to GameboyRMH :
Good, we need a solid culling.
Mr_Asa
MegaDork
12/4/24 8:34 p.m.
KyAllroad said:
In reply to GameboyRMH :
Good, we need a solid culling.
Curious. Did you have anyone close to you die during Covid? Cause that's a kinda... bad thing to say around people that did.
Oh look, more $hity math...143 deaths out of 143 infections is bad Um' Kay...143 deaths out of 14,300 infections is the Flu.
In no way what so ever is my criticism directed towards you GameboyRMH...thank you so much for bringing this to our attention.
As a stats guy, I'm just so berking frustrated with the lack of useful data from the last pandemic that it takes next to nothing to pi$$ me off.
Driven5
PowerDork
12/4/24 9:07 p.m.
In reply to RX Reven' :
Per the BBC: Unknown pathogen caused 67-143 deaths of predominantly 15-18 years olds from ~300 infected in a single rural community over a 2 week span.
Statistically speaking, that's concerning on multiple levels.
11GTCS
SuperDork
12/4/24 9:10 p.m.
In reply to GameboyRMH :
On the plus side and in to no way diminish the suffering that is most certainly happening to the people exposed to this:
The rate of international travel to and from the Congo would (I think) be a very small percentage of what the travel in and out of China was just prior to the initial Covid outbreak. We're aware there's a problem, there is recent worldwide experience in that it should be taken seriously. Fingers crossed on this particular one, we would hope that any spread can be contained quickly to protect others in the area.
I'm pretty confident that this one isn't airborne, so there's that with regards to spread. However the morality rate is severe. Swmbo is in charge of global logistics for an NGO, it's been on their radar for several weeks.
Mr_Asa
MegaDork
12/4/24 9:23 p.m.
Sidenote, isnt the current bird flu running around more concerning?
Mr_Asa said:
Sidenote, isnt the current bird flu running around more concerning?
On one hand the bird flu has already spread to a lot of wildlife around the world, on the other this mystery disease has probably already killed more people than the number of people who've been infected by the latest bird flu.
j_tso
SuperDork
12/4/24 10:35 p.m.
great timing with quackery is on the rise.
11GTCS said:
The rate of international travel to and from the Congo would (I think) be a very small percentage of what the travel in and out of China was just prior to the initial Covid outbreak.
True, but remember that Ebola did make it over here a couple of administrations ago.
Driven5 said:
In reply to RX Reven' :
Per the BBC: Unknown pathogen caused 67-143 deaths of predominantly 15-18 years olds from ~300 infected in a single rural community over a 2 week span.
Statistically speaking, that's concerning on multiple levels.
Layman here, but, from a standpoint of spreading the disease, isn't a high mortality rate kind of a good thing? If it's killing that many people that quickly, then it'll run out of victims and burn out quickly, too, right?
The thread title is 1/3 correct at a minimum. Its always time to stock up on bicycles.
Regarding TP, get a bidet. I can easily count on my fingers how many rolls I use in a year.
Is this more or less scary than H5N1 that is already in this country?
Tom_Spangler (Forum Supporter) said:
Layman here, but, from a standpoint of spreading the disease, isn't a high mortality rate kind of a good thing? If it's killing that many people that quickly, then it'll run out of victims and burn out quickly, too, right?
Yes. The worst disease, pandemic wise, is something that is easily spread before showing symptoms (e.g. COVID) but is very fatal in the long run. If it kills quickly, it will die out quickly. In the least, if it cannot be spread before symptoms show, it is much easier to contain (e.g. lockdowns)
The information on this seems VERY vague at this point.
67-143 dead is a huge range statistics wise. Shows very low confidence in the measurement.
LOTS of variables that are not known. E.g. as I remember there was an African based disease (ebola?) that was primarily being spread because of the common practice in the area of people staying very close to the dead, and thus spreading the disease in a way the most areas would not.
Pay attention? Yes
Panic? No (unless you are into that sort of thing of course)
